Inama y’umuryango w’abibumbye ishinzwe ubucuruzi n’iterambere (UNCTAD) iherutse gushyira ahagaragara raporo y’ubushakashatsi ivuga ko amasezerano y’ubufatanye mu bukungu mu karere (RCEP), azatangira gukurikizwa ku ya 1 Mutarama 2022, azashyiraho akarere n’ubukungu n’ubucuruzi nini ku isi.
Nk’uko raporo ibigaragaza, RCEP izaba amasezerano y’ubucuruzi manini ku isi ashingiye ku bicuruzwa byinjira mu gihugu (GDP) by’ibihugu bigize uyu muryango.Ibinyuranye n'ibyo, amasezerano akomeye y’ubucuruzi mu karere, nk’isoko rusange ry’Abanyamerika yepfo, Ubucuruzi bw’umugabane wa Afurika ku mugabane w’ubucuruzi, Umuryango w’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburayi, n’amasezerano y’Amerika na Mexico na Kanada, na byo byongereye uruhare muri GDP ku isi.
Isesengura rya raporo ryerekanye ko RCEP izagira ingaruka zikomeye ku bucuruzi mpuzamahanga.Ingano yubukungu yiri tsinda rigenda ryiyongera nubucuruzi bwayo bizayigira ikigo gishya cyingufu zubucuruzi bwisi.Mu cyorezo gishya cy’umusonga, kwinjiza ingufu za RCEP bizanafasha kuzamura ubushobozi bw’ubucuruzi bwo guhangana n’ingaruka.
Raporo ivuga ko kugabanya ibiciro ari ihame shingiro rya RCEP, kandi ibihugu bigize uyu muryango bizagabanya buhoro buhoro imisoro kugira ngo ubucuruzi bwisanzure.Amahoro menshi azahita akurwaho, nandi mahoro azagabanuka buhoro buhoro mumyaka 20.Ibiciro bikiri mu bikorwa bizagarukira gusa ku bicuruzwa byihariye mu nzego zifatika, nk'ubuhinzi n'inganda zitwara ibinyabiziga.Muri 2019, ubucuruzi hagati y’ibihugu bigize RCEP bumaze kugera kuri tiriyari ebyiri n’amadolari y’Amerika.Igabanywa ry’amahoro ry’amasezerano rizatanga umusaruro w’ubucuruzi n’ingaruka zo gucuruza.Ibiciro biri hasi bizashishikariza hafi miliyari 17 z’amadolari y’ubucuruzi hagati y’ibihugu bigize uyu muryango no guhindura hafi miliyari 25 z’amadolari y’ubucuruzi kuva mu bihugu bitari mu muryango ukajya mu bihugu bigize uyu muryango.Mugihe kimwe, bizarushaho guteza imbere RCEP.Hafi ya 2% byoherezwa mu mahanga hagati y’ibihugu bigize uyu muryango bifite agaciro ka miliyari 42 z’amadolari y’Amerika.
Raporo yizera ko ibihugu bigize RCEP biteganijwe ko bizahabwa impamyabumenyi zitandukanye ku masezerano.Kugabanuka kw'ibiciro biteganijwe ko bizagira ingaruka nyinshi mubucuruzi mubukungu bunini bwitsinda.Bitewe n'ingaruka zo gutandukanya ubucuruzi, Ubuyapani buzungukirwa cyane no kugabanya ibiciro bya RCEP, kandi biteganijwe ko ibyoherezwa mu mahanga byiyongera hafi miliyari 20 z'amadolari y'Amerika.Aya masezerano kandi azagira ingaruka nziza ku byoherezwa mu mahanga biva muri Ositaraliya, Ubushinwa, Koreya y'Epfo na Nouvelle-Zélande.Bitewe n'ingaruka mbi zo gutandukanya ubucuruzi, kugabanya ibiciro bya RCEP amaherezo bishobora kugabanya ibyoherezwa mu mahanga biva muri Kamboje, Indoneziya, Filipine, na Vietnam.Bimwe mubicuruzwa byoherezwa muri ubwo bukungu biteganijwe ko bizahindukira mu cyerekezo gifitiye akamaro ibindi bihugu bigize RCEP.Muri rusange, agace kose kateganijwe n’amasezerano kazungukirwa n’ibiciro bya RCEP.
Raporo ishimangira ko uko gahunda yo kwishyira hamwe y’ibihugu bigize uyu muryango RCEP igenda itera imbere, ingaruka zo gutandukana mu bucuruzi zishobora kwiyongera.Iki nikintu kidakwiye gusuzugurwa nibihugu bitari RCEP.
Inkomoko: Umuyoboro wa RCEP
Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-29-2021